Friday, March 28, 2014
It’s the Quality of Disclosure, Stupid
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Tell Me a Story
Thursday, October 31, 2013
Are You Talking About What You Want to Say or What Your Investors Want to Know?
Tuesday, October 1, 2013
Make It Memorable
Thursday, July 11, 2013
The Application of Greek Mythology to Investor Relations
Having received a degree in history from a small liberal arts college, I periodically feel the need to justify all the obscure, unrelated and mostly useless knowledge I picked up in the course of my education. This actually comes in handy from time to time if you are in the business of communicating, which, of course, we all are in investor relations.
When I teach or give a public talk, I like to bring in a variety of arcane sources in order to keep the audience engaged. I find that introducing something interesting, which, at first blush has no connection to the topic, helps to get people thinking about what you’re saying. Of course, sometimes it’s the only thing they remember from your talk, but I’m happy if they remember anything at all from my talks.
For example, a number of years ago I was given the task of explaining executive benefits at a 7:00 AM meeting. This is about as bad as it gets – a dull topic at a miserable time of day. The strategy I hit upon to liven things up enough to keep people awake was to use song lyrics to illustrate my points. (I freely admit that I stole this idea from a Bar exam prep teacher I had many years ago, but the best ideas are often stolen.) I had to work at it – not many songs mention stock options or long term disability insurance – and eventually references ranged from Gershwin to 1960s Motown to Pink Floyd, but I kept the audience interested in what I was saying.
I bring this up because one of the obscure references I like to mention when I discuss the role of communications in investor relations is Sisyphus. Those of you that were blessed with a proper grounding in Greek mythology will recall that Sisyphus was the Greek King who incurred the displeasure of Zeus and was sentenced to roll a huge bolder up a steep hill, only to have the bolder roll back down to the bottom of the hill before he arrived at the summit, forcing Sisyphus to begin all over again. This ceaseless effort very concisely describes the process of communications in investor relations.
When you are communicating with investors, as they used to say in an old Nike ad, “There is no finish line”. The company is constantly moving towards its next reporting date. You are either just reporting results or getting ready to report results. The company and its strategy are continually evolving, requiring you to refresh your message. The composition of your investor base is also routinely changing as the stock is bought and sold, causing you to have to regularly educate an entirely new set of investors. In short, it never stops.
Nor should it. Good investor relations requires continual communication with investors and potential investors. The more you communicate in a transparent manner, the fewer surprises will confront investors and the less volatile your stock will be. When more information that is routinely transmitted to the Street it also means that there is less opportunity for insider trading. In short, as in economics, more is generally better until you arrive at the point of disutility. What constitutes disutility of information is a discussion for another day. For now, I will leave you to roll the rock up the hill.
Friday, May 31, 2013
Social Media, the SEC and Corporate Disclosure – a Wobbly Three Legged Stool
Friday, September 28, 2012
Selling the Academic Side of Investor Relations
Tuesday, March 13, 2012
Just When You Thought It Was Safe To Go Back on the Call
Strange as it may seem, National Public Radio and Wall Street sell side research share a common business model – they both give the product away and hope you get paid later. The motivations are different; NPR is a not for profit entity while sell side research sits at the heart of profit driven capitalism, but NPR pledge drives and sell side marketing to get commissions directed their way are similar in many respects. Both occur long after the product has been delivered to the user with no obligation for the user to actually pay for it and both attempt to convince the user that they have been given a superior product.
The reason I bring this up is that occasionally NPR comes up with a story that actually has some bearing on corporate earnings and Wall Street, and they recently did so on February 2, 2012 with a piece entitled “Is That CEO Being Honest? Tone Of Voice May Tell A Lot”. You can find it at http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2012/02/02/146288038/is-that-ceo-being-honest-tone-of-voice-may-tell-a-lot.
In the story, NPR examines some software developed by an Israeli company based on research referred to as layered voice analysis. The software picks up on “vocal dissonance markers” that may indicate when the truth is being shaded, or when an executive is trying to avoid saying something that should be said in order to make an answer complete.
Of course, analysts on conference calls listen to tone and inflection all the time, so this of itself is not a news flash. The part of this story that makes it interesting is that the research shows that the analysts are much better at hearing the positive tones in a call than they are at hearing the cognitive dissonance in messages that are being shaded from complete truth. According to the radio story, part of this may be that most analysts stand to benefit more from positive recommendations than negative recommendations. Another part may be that most people are less likely to ascribe nefarious intent when a person sounds less than chipper. To this I will add another factor: most conference calls have taken on a very formulaic approach, and much of the time, corporate management sounds as if they are discussing their immanent root canal surgery with their dentist. Sounding unhappy to be on the call is par for the course and, therefore, it is hard to distinguish an unhappy tone from a less than honest tone. Conversely, any time management sounds happy, it really stands out and is easy to pick up on.
Faithful readers with long memories may recall that I wrote about similar research back in August 2010 in a post titled “Using Computers to Predict If a CEO is Lying”. In that case, researchers from Stanford Graduate School of Business took a look at word patterns during the Q & A sessions of earnings calls to help predict when company management was being deceitful. Now we have software that listens to voice tone that does the same thing. So maybe we are getting closer to the day when management will have no choice but to be completely honest with investors on earnings calls.
It could mark the death knell of the earnings conference call…
Monday, February 13, 2012
Practicing Safe Presentations
How many times have you been at a conference and seen a corporate investor presentation that begins something like this:
“Good morning. I’m Joe Terrific, CEO of Godzilla Industries, and I’m here to bring you up to date on all the great things we’re doing. (Pause while he moves rapidly from the title slide, past the safe harbor slide to the beginning slide describing the business.) Here at Godzilla Industries…”
In other words, the safe harbor statement slide is up on the screen fleetingly, but not referred to verbally. The thinking being that they’ve shown the disclaimer about forward-looking statements, all the investors in the room are sophisticated institutional investors and know that when a company makes projections and statements about the future things don’t always turn out the way the company thinks they will. The requirements of the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995 have been met, right?
Well, maybe not.
A recent ruling by a federal trial court for the Western District of Washington has underlined the need for companies to make sure they verbally reference the safe harbor disclaimer. The case is In re Coinstar Securities Litigation, Case No. C11-133 MJP (W.D. Washington Oct. 6, 2011) and all practitioners of investor relations should take notice of it.
The case involved allegations that on various occasions the management of Coinstar made projections and statements about future expectations that did not come to fruition. As happens in these cases, the lawyers for Coinstar made a motion to dismiss the complaint. This is a motion made early in the proceedings that has the effect of cutting off the litigation before the really big legal bills start to pile up. It is done before pre-trial discovery takes place, which is when a plaintiff can drive a company to distraction by forcing it to produce thousands of pages of documents and produce members of management for time-consuming depositions. Once discovery starts, the chances of the plaintiff wringing a settlement out of the company go way up, as it is often cheaper to settle than to pay hefty lawyers fees for several years running while lawyers pore over boxcar loads of documents in the hope of turning up a smoking gun, with the Russian roulette of a jury trial lurking in the background.
In the Coinstar case, one of the allegations made in the complaint was that forward- looking statements made by company management at an investor conference were false or misleading. In making the allegation, the plaintiffs relied upon a transcript of the presentation, and because the transcript contained no reference to the cautionary language on the company’s presentation slides, the court ruled that for purposes of a motion to dismiss, they could not take notice of something that wasn’t in the record and therefore the lawsuit could proceed on those allegations.
This does not mean that Coinstar lost the lawsuit, but it does mean that the lawsuit can continue and move into the pretrial discovery phase, which is almost as bad as losing. Coinstar did not accompany their safe harbor slide with a simple statement such as, “Statements made in the course of today’s presentation may contain forward-looking information and actual results may differ materially from what we are presenting today. The slide you now see gives you more information on the assumptions and factors we consider in making those forward looking statements and where to go to get more information on our risk factors.” As a result, they have subjected themselves to, at a minimum, additional and unnecessary legal bills, and at worst, the potential of a large settlement or jury award.
So today’s lesson is, just because the safe harbor slide is in every presentation, and everyone has heard it dozens of times before, doesn’t mean that a trial judge will assume investors have heard about it. Practice safe presentations - always refer to the safe harbor statement and slide.
Thursday, December 1, 2011
Do You Think You Could Make That More Boring?
Who ever said that an investor presentation has to be boring? (I exclude from this question the lawyers, who as a default position, always feel that boring and incomprehensible is safer than exciting and interesting.)
I was at an investor conference last month and took the opportunity to sit in on several presentations. I think that most of the company presenters must have been listening to their lawyers. After about two presentations I began to tune out because most of what I heard was pretty bland and uninteresting. It was as if the presenters had all gone to the Sgt. Joe Friday school of public speaking. They were determined to give “just the facts” in the most humdrum fashion possible. (For those of you too young to remember, Sgt. Joe Friday was the principal character in the TV drama Dragnet who gave new meaning to the term poker-faced.)
Honestly, how can you expect an investor to get excited about a stock if the company CEO doesn’t show some enthusiasm when talking about the company? Yet that is exactly what I saw at the conference. This was especially true at the beginning of most presentations, when the speaker should be working the hardest to capture the interest of the audience, yet what I often heard was the recitation of bare bones facts about the company without a lot of context to help investors understand the company’s products and position within the industry.
The other major bone I have to pick about what I heard was that most companies thought their job was done when they had explained what their past activities had been. The implication of such a presentation is “Here’s what we’ve done in the past, now you can go ahead and make your own judgment about what we will do in the future without any help from us.” This is like saying that markets are static, conditions are not going to change and we are not working on any new products or markets. This, of course, is nonsense, as American companies and markets are predicated on growth and conditions change all the time. Further, financial theory 101 teaches that investors are buying your stock based upon the value of FUTURE cash flows, so why not give them some guidance about where you are going in the future? Hey, there’s a safe harbor statement about forward-looking statements in every presentation. Why not put it to good use?
All was not terrible, however. There were several successful and engaging speakers I saw at the conference. Generally, these successful speakers seemed to have two things in common. First, they got a little worked up about what their company was doing and what made their products and services unique. Secondly, they allowed some of their personality to come through. This is important because if you’ve ever read any of the surveys of investors and what they care about, quality of management is always high up the list. Yet if management is nothing more than a bland talking head, how can an investor be expected to make a qualitative judgment about them?
After all, who ever said, “I liked your presentation, but you could have been a bit more boring”?
Monday, October 31, 2011
Stand a Little Closer to the Podium… Coaching and Investor Relations
A short while ago a friend sent me a copy of an article in the New Yorker about coaching. We’re not talking here about improving your golf swing. Rather, the author of the article suggests that people in business could stand to benefit from having someone who is an expert observe and offer constructive criticism on how they perform routine tasks. The article can be found here: http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/10/03/111003fa_fact_gawande
I was intrigued by the article, not only because I spend considerable time coaching first year MBA students on how to give business presentations, but also on the concept’s potential for improving investor relations activities. By its nature, investor relations involves repetitious activities that revolve around everything from how you talk on the phone, to investor presentations and quarterly earnings reporting. These are the exact type of activities that can benefit from coaching. And yet, in all my years of business, I have rarely seen anything that approaches coaching done outside of a seminar environment.
Take for example, your typical investor relations presentation given by a CEO. I’ve sat through literally hundreds of these throughout my career and most were less than memorable. Just a few things that we talk about with our students touching upon delivery, content and visuals could be pointed out to many CEOs:
Delivery – was the speaker enthusiastic when speaking to the investors? After all, if the CEO isn’t enthusiastic about the company, how can you expect investors to get excited?
Content – is the speaker able to place the company into an understandable framework that helps investors understand the value his company brings to the marketplace? I have seen any number of presentations where software and tech companies get so wrapped up in the technological aspects of their products that they fail to bring it down to the level where an investor can see how they can make money on the technology.
Visuals – how many times have you seen a screen full of bullet points that the speaker feels compelled to read? Worse yet, how about a balance sheet in 8 point type?
Business leaders of today have to be communicators, yet many of them could stand some improvement in their delivery. This is where coaching should come in, but rarely does. My guess is that most investor relations officers are loath to criticize their superiors. Which is too bad, because we can all stand some improvement. I know I’ve been practicing public speaking for over thirty years and there are still things I need to improve.
So here’s today’s practical tip: if IROs don’t want to tread on thin ice by critiquing executives, videotape them and let them review themselves. It helps if you give them a list of common errors to watch and listen for, such as vocal fillers, repetitive phrases, body language and eye contact. Then tell them to watch/ listen to the presentation four times:
First, listen and don’t watch. This lets the speaker focus on vocal qualities such as pitch, tone, speed, ums and ahhs, and if he was using his voice to tell listeners what was important.
Second, watch with no sound. This will draw attention to body language, eye contact and the annoying things the speaker may be doing with their hands.
Third, listen and watch the presentation to see if it all comes together in a coherent whole.
Fourth (for the brave), watch the presentation at double speed. This will really bring to the fore any annoying or quirky things the speaker tends to do, such as looking up at the ceiling, or performing a little dance step as he speaks.
Who knows, after watching themselves a few times, CEOs might get a little bit humbler.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
Crisis Communication
Last week I had the pleasure of attending the National Investor Relations Institute (NIRI) Southwest Regional Conference in San Antonio. I’m on record as having said this before, but I like to repeat it: I believe that the Southwest Regional Conference is a better learning experience for investor relations professionals than the National Conference. I say this because the Southwest Regional Conference is shorter – a day and one-half as opposed to two and one-half days and thus more focused and, with a smaller number of people in attendance, you actually feel as if you have a chance to get around and talk to everybody.
This year, under the leadership of Lee Ahlstrom and Scott Winters of the Houston NIRI chapter, the Conference once again took an interesting departure from the usual lineup of talking heads you normally get at these conferences. The first morning saw everyone engaged in a case study examining a crisis communication situation. The case required everyone to participate, as each table of eight assumed the role of the investor relations/corporate communications professional. They soon found themselves barraged with information in the form of management meetings, memorandums, twitter feeds, media inquiries and videos of the plant explosion in question. In the middle of trying to parse through the data, they found themselves being interviewed by a reporter and asked questions by a sell side analyst. While all of this was going on they found themselves having to recommend media and disclosure strategies to management.
Everyone I talked to said that the exercise was one of the best simulations they had seen on crisis communications. While that’s nice to hear, when I do case studies in my class, I always like to wind up with some key takeaways from the experience, so for the benefit of both the people who were at the conference and those that may wish to learn a little something about crisis communications, so here are the points to remember from the exercise:
1. 1. To quote Dwight Eisenhower, “In preparing for battle I have always found that plans are useless, but planning is indispensable.” In other words, the crisis you wind up with rarely looks like the one you planned for, but the exercise of planning for a crisis causes you to think through the process. This planning process is what helps you to deal with the crisis you do get.
2. 2. There is always somebody important you can’t reach when the crisis breaks. This may seem surprising in this age of interconnectedness, but people go on vacation to remote areas, cell phone coverage tends to break down under the stress of a crisis and there is always someone who is just out of pocket for some random reason or another. Having a clear chain of command as to who acts in the absence of others is important.
3. 3. The need for speed. People have to meet on short notice. Large amounts of data have to be absorbed quickly. Investors want answers right away and if you don’t respond to the press they will come up with their own version of events. There is no time for multiple editing rounds of your press release.
4. 4. You almost never have all the facts you need when you need them. In a crisis information is often garbled, late and sometimes just wrong. This means that the best messages you can send to your audiences are based on simple factual statements.
5. 5. Differing people have different agendas. The corporate counsel may not want to disclose anything at all. Business managers may not want certain facts to come out so that customers, suppliers and creditors don’t get upset. The reporters want to sell newspapers and get good video footage. Analysts care about how the event will affect the company’s stock and what collateral damage there may be to other companies. Good crisis communications has to deal with all of this.
In the end, there is no set formula for how to deal with a crisis, as each situation brings its own unique set of facts. Practice and planning can help however, which is why this year’s NIRI Southwest Conference was so well received.
Before I finish, I have to relate an interesting story from the conference. This year I decided to participate in the golf outing at the conference. I was out on the golf range practicing before the event (I need a lot of practice) when the person on the next practice tee looked at me and asked, “Are you the blogging professor?” I guess there are worse things you can be known as – it even has a sort of ring to it –“The blogging professor.” Maybe I’ll have it put on my business cards.